[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 29 16:10:14 CDT 2005


ABNT20 KNHC 292109
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED
TODAY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...BUT ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10
MPH.  INTERESTS IN AND AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

A SMALL AND WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS MOVING
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY
REMAINS LIMITED... AND UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 600 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.  WHILE THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL...SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS
IT DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

$$
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