[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 140907
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI OCT 14 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A BROAD SURFACE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING AN EXTENSIVE BAND OF CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS FROM BERMUDA SOUTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TO
HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO.  SEVERAL SMALL LOW PRESSURE CENTERS
ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS LARGE BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND CONTINUE TO
MOVE NORTHWARD. HOWEVER... THERE ARE NO SIGNS THAT ANY OF THOSE
CIRCULATIONS IS TRYING TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS COMPLEX WEATHER SYSTEM CAN
BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NOAA OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER AND THE TPC TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH.

A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY
ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JAMAICA. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED... AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS HAVE BECOME MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
TO OCCUR. HOWEVER... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED BECOME SOMEWHAT
MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MEANDERS NEAR JAMAICA.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE... ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM... IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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