[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 040610
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM STAN SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT THU OCT  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.9N  94.9W      73  X  X  X 73   MMVR 192N 961W    36  X  1  X 37
18.7N  95.2W      60  X  X  X 60   MMFR 185N 926W    15  X  1  2 18
18.5N  95.5W      48  X  X  X 48   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  3  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  1  6  7   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  3  3
MMTM 222N 979W     X  1  3  8 12   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     1  6  5  4 16   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  5  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
C FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
D FROM  7PM WED TO  7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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