[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 040252
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM STAN... LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT
190 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A LARGE AND COMPLEX SYSTEM OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM
NEAR THE BAHAMAS EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS.  SURFACE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THIS
SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND MOST OF
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BE LOCATED WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA OF LOWEST PRESSURE.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.   AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REACH THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS
DIMINISHED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH

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WWWW
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