[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 181030
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN.  THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE... BUT IT STILL DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A
CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION.  A NEARBY BUT SEPARATE WEATHER
SYSTEM... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN HONDURAS... IS
PRODUCING SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR ITS CIRCULATION CENTER.
HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM IS STILL INLAND AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED UNLESS IT MOVES BACK OVER WATER.  FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...  EITHER
THROUGH REGENERATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN... OR
DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER HONDURAS.
ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS AREA LATER TODAY... IF NECESSARY.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER.  EVEN IF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...
HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN
PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND COULD SPREAD INTO BELIZE... NORTHERN
GUATEMALA... AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS PRODUCING SOME WINDS TO NEAR
GALE FORCE.  ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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