[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 181040
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2005

CORRECTED FOR RE-TRANSMISSION

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN... IN COMBINATION
WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN HONDURAS
COAST... ARE PRODUCING AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INCREASED AND BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH OF THE NORTHERN
HONDURAS COAST... AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL
STORM TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY ACROSS THIS AREA. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REPORTS FROM
NEARBY NOAA BUOYS 42056 AND 42057 INDICATE WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL
STORM-FORCE HAVE BEEN OCCURRING IN BRIEF HEAVY SQUALLS.  EVEN IF
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR... HEAVY RAINS CAUSING
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS OF HONDURAS... BELIZE... THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WESTERN
CUBA... AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
TPC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIAHSFAT2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS PRODUCING SOME WINDS TO NEAR
GALE FORCE.  ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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WWWW
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