[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 180328
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST THU NOV 17 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN.
THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE... BUT IT STILL DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A CLOSED SURFACE
CIRCULATION.  A NEARBY BUT SEPARATE WEATHER SYSTEM... AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AND MOVING TOWARD
HONDURAS... IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR
ITS CIRCULATION CENTER.  HOWEVER... THIS SYSTEM IS INLAND AND
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED UNLESS IT MOVES BACK OVER
WATER.  FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO... EITHER THROUGH REGENERATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWENTY-SEVEN... OR DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
OVER NICARAGUA.  ANOTHER AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS AREA TOMORROW... IF
NECESSARY.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER.  EVEN IF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT OCCUR...
HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IN
PORTIONS OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS AND COULD SPREAD INTO BELIZE...
NORTHERN GUATEMALA... AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS PRODUCING SOME WINDS TO NEAR
GALE FORCE.  ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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