[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 131030
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST SUN NOV 13 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 85 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION OVERNIGHT... BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A
LITTLE LESS CONCENTRATED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT... AND
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  WHILE THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN NEARLY
STATIONARY OVERNIGHT... A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR
NOT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS... THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND ON MONDAY.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DIMINISHED.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

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