[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 27 00:06:00 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KJAX 270450
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-270630-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1250 AM EDT MON SEP 27 2004

...A NEW TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 9 AM EDT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE CONTENT OF THIS LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...NASSAU...DUVAL...ST. JOHNS...FLAGLER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
PUTNAM...ALACHUA...MARION...UNION...BAKER...GILCHRIST...COLUMBIA...
SUWANNEE AND HAMILTON. IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN...GLYNN...
WAYNE...BRANTLEY...CHARLTON...APPLING...PIERCE...WARE...JEFF DAVIS...
BACON...COFFEE...ATKINSON...CLINCH AND ECHOLS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
INLAND COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
...AN FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
MOST OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 800 AM...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT FOR ALL COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...
DUVAL...HAMILTON...NASSAU...ST. JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION COUNTIES
IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES WEST-
NORTHWEST OF GAINESVILLE FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE SHOULD MOVE INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND JEANNE COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

OVER THE PAST HOUR WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT
JACKSONVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. OTHER LOCAL WIND GUSTS REPORTS...
CRAIG FIELD...48 MPH
MAYPORT...52 MPH
NAVAL AIR STATION JACKSONVILLE...52 MPH
ST AUGUSTINE...49 MPH
DAYTONA BEACH...38 MPH
THE VILLAGES...38 MPH
OCALA...43 MPH
GAINESVILLE...49 MPH
VALDOSTA...43 MPH
WAYCROSS...51 MPH
ALMA...31 MPH
DOUGLAS...42 MPH
ST SIMONS...39 MPH
BRUNSWICK...41 MPH

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO HEED THE ADVICE OF
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS. IF YOU LOSE POWER...REMEMBER THAT
GENERATORS SHOULD ONLY BE USED IN WELL VENTILATED AREAS...DO NOT RUN
GENERATORS IN GARAGES OR SHEDS. NEVER USE CANDLES OR ANY OPEN FLAME
FOR LIGHTING DUE TO THE RISK OF FIRE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE THE HEIGHT OF NORMAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY TIDES HAVE BEEN RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TONIGHT. AS WE ARE NOW PAST THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE...IN
MOST AREAS...WATER LEVELS SHOULD GRADUALLY FALL OVERNIGHT. DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF ALREADY HIGH WATER LEVELS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...
FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS BEEN REPORTED. THESE CONDITIONS
SHOULD BEGIN TO EASE AS THE TIDES FALL AND RAINFALL ABATES TONIGHT.

...WIND IMPACTS...
DUVAL...FLAGLER...NASSAU AND ST. JOHNS COUNTIES CONTINUE TO REPORT
OCCASIONAL SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
60 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE LONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AND THE
ST JOHNS RIVER. WIND GUSTS AT THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH PROFILE
BUILDINGS COULD OCCASIONALLY BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL VERY SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH
SUNRISE.

CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES...WINDS OF TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55
MPH WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

IN MARION...PUTNAM AND GILCHRIST COUNTIES...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
SHIFT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND WESTERLY AS
THE CENTER MOVES NORTH. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH. CONDITIONS WILL VERY SLOWLY IMPROVE
TOWARD SUNRISE AND THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

IN ALACHUA...CLAY...UNION...AND BRADFORD COUNTIES...SQUALL BANDS WILL
CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
OCCASIONALLY BE AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH WITH POSSIBLE HIGHER GUSTS IN
THE STRONGER BANDS. WINDS AND RAIN SHOULD VERY SLOWLY TAPER
OFF THROUGH SUNRISE.

FOR BAKER...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE AND HAMILTON COUNTIES...SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF TO 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT.

INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. HIGH SURF
AND BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT
LIKELY BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED OVER AREAS OF NORTH FLORIDA SOUTH OF
STATE ROAD 16 AND WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVER THE REMAINDER OF
NORTH FLORIDA THROUGH 3 AM.  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO
OVERSPREAD ALL OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT.  4 TO 6 INCHES OF
RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE STORM CENTER... MAY
FALL TONIGHT.

AS JEANNE MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY A BAND OF RAIN MAY MOVE
OUT OF APALACHEE BAY AND ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. AT THIS TIME...THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STORM
ARE FAIRLY DRY AND IT IS UNLIKELY THAT BAND WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAINS...HOWEVER AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF RAIN MAY FALL
IN THOSE AREAS ON MONDAY.

FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 8 AM MONDAY FOR ALL OF NORTH
FLORIDA AND MOST OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. REPORTS OF FLOODING HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED AND REMEMBER THAT FLOODING IN PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS AT
NIGHT. NEVER DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL POSE A RENEWED OR CONTINUED THREAT OF
FLOODING ON AREA RIVERS. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE BLACK CREEK AT MIDDLEBURG AND THE ST MARYS RIVER AT MACCLENNY.
BLACK CREEK IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT 17.2 FEET AT 2 AM ON TUESDAY AND
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6 AM ON WEDNESDAY.  THE ST MARYS RIVER AT
MACCLENNY IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT 15.7 FEET AT 8 AM ON TUESDAY AND
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT FOR MOST OF NORTH
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REISSUED FOR
A PORTION OF THE AREA. FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA AND ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO BE ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THE STORM'S CIRCULATION...
WHICH IS A FAVORED LOCATION FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. REMEMBER THAT
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONES...CAN
AND OFTEN DO DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

SANDRIK

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