[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Apr 2 12:26:14 CDT 2024


ACUS11 KWNS 021726
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021725
TNZ000-KYZ000-021930-

Mesoscale Discussion 0349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1225 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

Areas affected...Parts of western/middle Tennessee into
south-central Kentucky

Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...

Valid 021725Z - 021930Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75 continues.

SUMMARY...Ongoing convection in Middle Tennessee may intensify as it
ingests increasingly unstable parcels. Additional convection moving
northeast out of northern Mississippi may also move into WW 75.

DISCUSSION...Convection near Nashville has generally been
disorganized over the past hour. Heating to its east has been muted
on account of cloud cover/anvil debris. To its south/southeast,
greater heating has occurred and temperatures are in the low/mid 70s
F. Some intensification of this activity is possible. An increase in
low-level hodograph curvature is expected through the afternoon
which will continue to promote a risk of tornadoes in addition to
large hail and damaging winds.

Farther west, in the wake of morning convection, some broken cloud
cover is allowing surface heating. As the airmass tries to recover,
convection in northern Mississippi may intensify as it moves
northeast and be capable of a similar tornado, large hail, and wind
gusts threat.

..Wendt.. 04/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36138846 36358830 36608791 36978635 36908536 36598511
            35978538 35578644 35278709 35168766 35188810 35468845
            36138846
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