[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 071006
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071005
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-071130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0217
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0405 AM CST Mon Mar 07 2022

Areas affected...Western KY...Northern Middle TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 36...

Valid 071005Z - 071130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 36 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind gust and/or tornadoes
continues across western KY and northern Middle TN.

DISCUSSION...Line of thunderstorms along the front continues to
progress eastward across western KY. This line has largely remained
free from any bowing/accelerating line segments thus far, with the
exception of the portion of line near Calloway County KY. Current
limiting factor appears to be the modest buoyancy (i.e mesoanalysis
estimates MLCAPE is around 200 J/kg) and strengthening convective
inhibition. Even with only a few bowing segments observed so far and
limited buoyancy, the low-level flow downstream of the line remains
very strong, suggesting the potential still exists for
bowing/accelerating line segments capable of producing strong wind
gusts and/or embedded tornadoes.

..Mosier.. 03/07/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37248777 37668703 38008632 37578613 36948674 36418743
            36518855 37248777
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