[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 122321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122320
KYZ000-TNZ000-130045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0175
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0620 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

Areas affected...Southern KY...Northern TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 48...

Valid 122320Z - 130045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 48 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will focus across southern KY this evening.

DISCUSSION...Longer-lived MCS that developed over the MO/IL region
has progressed downstream into KY. This activity is predominantly
north of a warm front that is advancing slowly north across the
southern OH Valley. Strongest updrafts are concentrated along the
southwestern flank of this broader area of convection as more
buoyant inflow is feeding supercells from Butler-Warrent County.
Given the observed shear vectors, and stronger instability noted
across the TN Valley, storm motions should remain just south of
east. As a result, the most favorable corridor for strong convection
will remain across southern KY.

..Darrow.. 03/12/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   37398638 37258502 36888436 36398485 37098686 37398638
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