[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Nicole Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Charleston SC  AL172022
406 PM EST Tue Nov 8 2022

This product covers southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia

**NICOLE LIKELY TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA MID TO LATE WEEK**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Beaufort, Charleston, Coastal Colleton, and Coastal Jasper
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Inland Berkeley,
      Inland Jasper, and Tidal Berkeley

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Beaufort, Charleston, Coastal Bryan, Coastal Chatham, Coastal
      Colleton, Coastal Jasper, Coastal Liberty, and Coastal McIntosh
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Berkeley, Inland
      Bryan, Inland Chatham, Inland Jasper, Inland Liberty, Inland
      McIntosh, and Tidal Berkeley

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 520 miles southeast of Charleston SC or about 540 miles
      east-southeast of Savannah GA
    - 27.5N 73.7W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement West or 260 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicole continues to move east and approach the
Bahamas this afternoon and is forecast to move over the peninsula of
Florida Thursday. Nicole is then expected to turn north and then
sharply northeast and impact coastal Georgia and South Carolina
Thursday into Friday.

Although the storm will have weakened, significant impacts from
coastal flooding, heavy rainfall, and rough surf are possible.
Tropical storm force winds also extend well north of Nicole, with the
Georgia and South Carolina coastal waters already experiencing
tropical storm force wind gusts. The combination of storm surge
inundation and persistent antecedent northeast winds could produce
areas of considerable flooding, especially Wednesday and Thursday
morning. In addition, dangerous marine and surf conditions as well as
significant beach erosion are expected.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across tidal portions of southern South Carolina and northern Georgia.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation of saltwater mainly along immediate
      shorelines and in low-lying spots farther inland near rivers
      and creeks.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions hazardous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Minor to moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf possibly breaching
      dunes, mainly in normally vulnerable locations. Strong rip
      currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia.
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding could prompt some rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries could quickly become swollen with
      swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,
      especially in normally vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places could experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted,
      but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow
      rooted.
    - Some roads impassable due to debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded locations. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways, especially for high
      profile vehicles.
    - Isolated to scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia. Potential impacts
include:
    - Isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans.
    - Isolated locations could experience tornado damage, along with
      power and communications disruptions.
    - In isolated locations, tornadoes could damage trees, vehicles,
      boats and buildings, especially mobile homes and other poorly
      constructed structures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Charleston SC around 1030 PM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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