[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KEWX 131506
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TXZ209-222>225-132315-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX  AL142021
1006 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers South Central Texas

**NICHOLAS TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
WIND GUSTS LATER TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been cancelled for Gonzales and
      Karnes

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for De Witt, Fayette, and
      Lavaca

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 210 miles south of Hallettsville TX or about 190 miles
      south of Cuero TX
    - 26.4N 96.8W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North or 5 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas will continue to move north near the lower
Texas coast today and is expected to make landfall along the middle
Texas coast this evening then move through southeast Texas on Tuesday.
The forecast track of Nicholas has shifted to the east and we have
cancelled the Tropical Storm Watch for Karnes and Gonzales County.
There still remains a potential for tropical storm force wind gusts of
40 to 50 mph over DeWitt, Fayette, and Lavaca counties, A Tropical
Storm Watch is in effect for these counties. These tropical storm force
winds are most likely to arrive tonight into early Tuesday morning. In
addition, locally heavy rainfall could lead to minor flooding in some
areas tonight through Tuesday. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are
forecast across DeWitt, Lavaca, and Fayette counties, with locally
higher amounts possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      usually dry creek beds, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some low water crossings could become flooded
      and turn deadly if attempting to pass through. Some road and
      bridge closures.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across Lavaca County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across Fayette and DeWitt counties.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across South Central
Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - No mandatory evacuations are in effect. Follow
the instructions of local officials.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Austin/San Antonio TX around 500 PM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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