[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KEWX 130911
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TXZ209-222>225-131715-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX  AL142021
411 AM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers South Central Texas

**NICHOLAS TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND
 GUSTS LATER TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for De Witt, Fayette,
      Gonzales, Karnes, and Lavaca

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 270 miles south of Hallettsville TX or about 250 miles
      south of Cuero TX
    - 25.5N 96.6W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas will move north off the lower Texas coast
today and is expected to make landfall along the middle or upper Texas
coast tonight then move through southeast and east Texas on Tuesday.
There still remains a potential for tropical storm force wind gusts of
40 to 50 mph over DeWitt and Lavaca counties, and a lesser chance over
Karnes, Gonzales, and Fayette counties. A Tropical Storm Watch is in
effect for these counties. These tropical storm force winds are most
likely to arrive tonight into early Tuesday morning. In addition,
locally heavy rainfall could lead to minor flooding in some areas
tonight through Tuesday. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are forecast
across DeWitt, Lavaca, and Fayette counties, with locally higher
amounts possible. However, if a shift westward were to occur in the
forecast track, significantly higher amounts of rainfall could occur.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      usually dry creek beds, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some low water crossings could become flooded
      and turn deadly if attempting to pass through. Some road and
      bridge closures.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across Lavaca County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across Fayette, Gonzales, DeWitt, and Karnes counties.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across South
Central Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - No mandatory evacuations are in effect. Follow
the instructions of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Austin/San Antonio TX around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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