[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 28
National Weather Service Miami FL  AL052021
1110 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

This product covers South Florida

**Elsa continues to impact portions of western South Florida as it
 moves northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Mainland
      Monroe

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal Collier

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 210 miles west-northwest of Miami FL or about 120 miles
      northwest of Naples FL
    - 27.3N 83.2W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Elsa is located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, just
offshore Sarasota, FL. Elsa is forecast to continue moving generally
northward and away from South Florida overnight and tomorrow.

* However, trailing rainbands associated with Elsa are still
  impacting western portions of South Florida and will continue
  through the overnight hours into early Wednesday morning.
* Greatest concern will be the potential for heavy rain and flooding
  across southwest Florida through tonight. A flood watch remains in
  effect for Collier county through Wednesday morning.
* A secondary concern is the potential for a few to several
  tornadoes and waterspouts through the early morning hours. A
  tornado watch remains in effect for Collier, Hendry, and Glades
  Counties through Wednesday morning.
* The greatest risk for sustained tropical storm force winds and
  surge impacts will be along the immediate coast of Collier County
  into early Wednesday. Impacts are expected to be limited.
* For the remainder of South Florida, brief gusts to Tropical Storm
  force in intermittent rain bands and squalls are possible.
* Residents and visitors are urged to remain in shelter until
  tropical storm conditions subside early Wednesday morning for
  those in warned areas.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Southwest Florida. Remain well guarded against life-threatening flood
waters having possible extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Ditches and canals may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple
      places. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets, parking lots and underpasses become submerged. Driving
      conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with
      some weakened or washed out.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
the Interior and western Lake Okeechobee Region. Remain well guarded
against dangerous flood waters having possible limited to significant
impacts.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Collier,
Hendry, and Glades Counties. Remain well braced against a dangerous
tornado event having possible significant impacts. If realized, these
impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Coastal Collier County. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind
having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
Coastal Collier County. Remain well away from locally hazardous surge
having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Miami FL around 6 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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