[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Elsa Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 27A
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL052021
857 PM EDT Tue Jul 6 2021

This product covers East Central Florida

**OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM HURRICANE ELSA WILL MOVE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
 FLORIDA TONIGHT, WORST CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN LAKE COUNTY**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Northern Lake and
      Southern Lake

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 170 miles south-southwest of Leesburg FL
    - 26.6N 83.1W
    - Storm Intensity 75 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Impacts from Hurricane Elsa are beginning to be felt across east-
central Florida early this evening outer rain bands move into the
Treasure Coast and Lake Okeechobee region. As Elsa continues moving
north and parallel to the Florida Gulf Coast, rain bands will increase
in frequency across east-central Florida overnight into Wednesday
morning.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Lake County. This is
where the highest potential exists for sustained tropical storm force
winds up to 40 mph, especially from Groveland to Leesburg westward,
including Lady Lake and The Villages. Stronger wind gusts to well above
tropical storm force are also most likely across this area.

Winds will gust to tropical storm force in most rain bands and squalls,
and 50 to 60 mph in the most intense squalls. Conditions will become
more favorable for tornadoes in these outer rain bands later tonight
into Wednesday morning, with the greatest threat for tornadoes being
across the inland areas west of Interstate 95.

A Tornado Watch is in effect for parts of central and south Florida,
with another Tornado Watch likely to be issued for central and north
Florida later this evening.

A Flood Watch continues for Lake, Seminole, Orange and inland Volusia
Counties. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected in the watch
area, with isolated amounts to around 6 inches. Outside of the watch
area, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected, with local amounts to
around 4 inches. The highest totals are expected closest to the track
of Elsa's center, across and adjacent to Lake County.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are unfolding across across
east-central Florida, particularly Lake, Orange, Seminole, and Volusia
Counties, where a Flood Watch has been issued. Remain well guarded
against flood waters having possible significant impacts.

If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.


* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are unfolding across East Central
Florida. Remain well braced against a dangerous tornado event having
possible significant impacts.

If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
East Central Florida. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind
having possible impacts.

If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around Midnight EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

Cristaldi
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