[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 22
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL052021
522 PM EDT Mon Jul 5 2021

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**Elsa moving over western Cuba**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Inland Citrus, Inland Hernando, Inland
      Hillsborough, Inland Levy, Inland Manatee, Inland Pasco, and
      Inland Sarasota
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
      Warning for Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Citrus, Coastal
      Hernando, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Lee, Coastal Levy,
      Coastal Manatee, Coastal Pasco, Coastal Sarasota, and Pinellas

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Inland Citrus, Inland
      Hernando, Inland Hillsborough, Inland Levy, Inland Manatee,
      Inland Pasco, and Inland Sarasota
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando,
      Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Lee, Coastal Levy, Coastal
      Manatee, Coastal Pasco, Coastal Sarasota, and Pinellas
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Charlotte,
      Inland Lee, and Sumter

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 340 miles south of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL or about 270
      miles south of Fort Myers FL
    - 22.7N 81.9W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 315 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Elsa continues to threaten mainly coastal areas along
the west coast of the Florida peninsula. Elsa is expected to track north
over the eastern Gulf of Mexico just off the west coast of Florida
Tuesday and Tuesday night. This will bring a threat of tropical storm
force winds, localized flash flooding, storm surge, hazardous marine
conditions, and possibly a few tornadoes to portions of west central
and southwest Florida.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
coastal areas along the west coast of Florida. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across inland areas.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts along coastal areas of west central and southwest Florida.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across west central and southwest Florida, with highest
rainfall totals likely near and along the coast. Potential impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about. Dangerous
      projectiles can add to the toll.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around Midnight EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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