[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Elsa Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL052021
527 PM EDT Sun Jul 4 2021

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**ELSA EXPECTED TO APPROACH FLORIDA WEST COAST MONDAY NIGHT**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Lee,
      Coastal Manatee, Coastal Sarasota, and Pinellas
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Coastal Citrus, Coastal
      Hernando, Coastal Levy, and Coastal Pasco
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Inland Charlotte,
      Inland Hillsborough, Inland Lee, Inland Manatee, and Inland
      Sarasota

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal Lee, Coastal
      Manatee, Coastal Sarasota, and Pinellas
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Coastal Citrus, Coastal
      Hernando, Coastal Levy, and Coastal Pasco
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Charlotte,
      Inland Hillsborough, Inland Lee, Inland Manatee, and Inland
      Sarasota

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 620 miles south-southeast of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL or
      about 530 miles south-southeast of Fort Myers FL
    - 19.8N 77.9W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The threat from Tropical Storm Elsa is increasing across West Central and
Southwest Florida from the Tampa Bay area southward, particularly
along the coastline. As Elsa moves northward just off the coast, the
threat for tropical storm force winds, localized flash flooding, storm
surge, hazardous marine conditions, and perhaps tornadoes will all be
possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
coastal sections of West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts
in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across inland areas.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal sections of West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
West Central and Southwest Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and boats pulled
      from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
 Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around Midnight EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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