[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KNHC 081442
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number  28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
1000 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

...CRISTOBAL WELL INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 91.8W
ABOUT 15 MI...30 KM E OF MONROE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM S OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 91.8 West.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24
km/h).  A turn toward the north is expected tonight, followed by a
faster north-northeast motion Tuesday and Wednesday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Cristobal should move through
northeastern Louisiana today, through Arkansas and eastern Missouri
tonight and Tuesday, and reach Wisconsin and the western Great
Lakes by Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast through Tuesday. However, Cristobal is
expected to strengthen some as it becomes an extratropical low
Tuesday night and Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE:  Water levels remain elevated along the Gulf coast and
will begin to subside after the next high tide cycle.

WIND: Gusty winds are expected to continue during the next few
hours over portions of the northern Gulf coast from southeastern
Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle.  Gusty winds could also
occur Tuesday night and Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and
western Great Lakes as Cristobal becomes an extratropical low.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across portions of the central and
eastern Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated
amounts to 15 inches.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local
amounts to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mid to Upper
Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains near and in advance of
Cristobal.  This rainfall has led to flash flooding and forecast
isolated significant river flooding across portions of the central
Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley.  Smaller streams
across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi have begun to
rise and are forecast to crest mid-week.  New and renewed
significant river flooding is possible across the Mid and Upper
Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
Mississippi, Alabama, southeastern Louisiana, eastern Arkansas,
western Tennessee, and southeastern Missouri.

SURF:  Swells generated by Cristobal are still affecting portions
of the northern and eastern Gulf coast, and are likely causing
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. These
swells are expected to gradually subside throughout the day.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header
WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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