[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT33 KNHC 081147
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 27A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
700 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020

...CRISTOBAL CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND...
...HEAVY RAINS FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 91.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM SSE OF MONROE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning along the Gulf coast has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 91.6 West.
The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h) and this motion should continue today.  A turn toward the
north is expected tonight, followed by a faster north-northeast
motion Tuesday and Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Cristobal should move through northeastern Louisiana
today, through Arkansas and eastern Missouri tonight and Tuesday,
and reach Wisconsin and the western Great Lakes by Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is expected through Tuesday. However, Cristobal is
expected to strengthen some as it becomes an extratropical low
Tuesday night and Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

STORM SURGE:  Water levels remain elevated along the Gulf coast and
will begin to subside after the next high tide cycle.

WIND: Wind gusts to tropical-storm force are expected to
continue during the next few hours over portions of the northern
Gulf coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida
Panhandle.  Gusty winds could also occur Tuesday night and
Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as
Cristobal becomes an extratropical low.

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce storm total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across portions of the central to
eastern Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley, with isolated
amounts to 15 inches.  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with local
amounts to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mid to Upper
Mississippi Valley and Northern Plains near and in advance of
Cristobal.  This rainfall has led to flash flooding and forecast
widespread river flooding across portions of the central Gulf Coast
into the Lower Mississippi Valley.  Smaller streams across southeast
LA and southern MS have begun to rise and are forecast to crest
mid-week.  New and renewed significant river flooding is possible
across the mid and upper Mississippi Valley.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible today and tonight across
Mississippi, Alabama, southeastern Louisiana, eastern Arkansas,
western Tennessee, and southeastern Missouri.

SURF:  Swells generated by Cristobal are still affecting portions
of the northern and eastern Gulf coast, and are likely causing
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Blake
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