[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 060856
HLSTAE
ALZ068-069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ155>161-070000-

Tropical Storm Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL032020
456 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020 /356 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020/

This product covers north Florida and extreme southeast Alabama and south Georgia.

...IMPACTS FROM CRISTOBAL WILL EXTEND WELL EAST OF THE CENTER...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal
      Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, and Coastal Wakulla

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 520 miles south-southwest of Panama City or about 520
      miles southwest of Apalachicola
    - 23.8N 90.2W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Cristobal continues its gradual northward motion through the Gulf
this morning. The environment remains hostile for much strengthening
through landfall late Sunday. While Cristobal is forecast to move
inland well west of the local area, the large circulation will bring
swell through Apalachee Bay and result in a coastal flooding threat
due to storm surge. The threat for storm surge flooding is greatest
across the Big Bend of Florida, with the potential for 2 to 4 feet of
inundation at points near the coast. Across the Panhandle, high surf
will result in the potential for minor beach erosion.

As bands of rain wrap around the eastern side of Cristobal, periods of
heavy rain should be expected late tonight and through the day on
Sunday. In general, 3 to 6 inches of rain is expected across north
Florida. Isolated flash flooding will be possible where multiple bands
impact the same area, or where a north-south band could set up. The
greatest threat for flash flooding will remain confined to north
Florida. As rain bands move inland, the potential for a tornado or two
will also be possible along the Panhandle coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the Florida Panhandle.


* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across north Florida. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
      overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across extreme southeast Alabama and southern Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
Florida panhandle coast. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across the interior Panhandle, Big Bend, southeast Alabama,
and south Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the Gulf of Mexico or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or
poor drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to
safe shelter on higher ground.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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