[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KMOB 060349
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-061200-

Tropical Storm Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL032020
1049 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF
ALABAMA, PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for George, Mobile
      Inland, and Stone

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central,
      Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, George, Mobile Central,
      Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa
      Coastal, and Stone

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 570 miles south-southwest of Mobile AL or about 570 miles
      south-southwest of Pensacola FL
    - 22.7N 90.1W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 10:00 PM CDT, Tropical Storm Cristobal continues to slowly intensify as
it advances northward across the south-central Gulf of Mexico this evening.
Cristobal is forecast to approach the southeast Louisiana coast Sunday evening, and
then move northwestward across the state of Louisiana throughout the day Monday.

Tropical Storm Force winds will be possible along the coastal sections
of Alabama, portions of interior southeast Mississippi, and portions of the
western Florida Panhandle from late Saturday night through early Monday morning.

Coastal Flooding is possible along coastal Alabama and the western Florida
Panhandle with inundation of 1 to 3 feet Sunday through Monday
afternoon, especially around the time of high tide. This also includes all
area bays and sounds. High Surf is likely with breaker heights of 8 to 11 feet
developing late Saturday night through Monday afternoon.

Rainfall amounts between 4 and 6 inches, with isolated higher amounts up to
10 inches will be possible, especially across the southern portions of Mobile
and Baldwin counties and inland sections of southeast Mississippi. This
may lead to localized flooding, mainly in poor drainage and urban areas.

Isolated tornadoes will also be possible from Sunday through early Monday
morning along and south of Interstate 10, including coastal Alabama and coastal
portions of the western Florida Panhandle.

Prepare now for potentially damaging winds, minor coastal flooding,
strong rip currents, periods of heavy rainfall, and isolated tornadoes
across locations in the Tropical Storm Warning area.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
portions of interior southeast Mississippi, coastal Alabama, and portions
of the western Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across interior southeast Mississippi and coastal Alabama.
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the remainder of southwest Alabama, northwest
Florida, and south central Alabama.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal Alabama and coastal portions of the western
Florida Panhandle, including all local bays and sounds. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across interior southeast Mississippi, coastal Alabama, and coastal
sections of the western Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
There will also be the continued threat for life threatening rip currents,
high surf, and coastal erosion along area beaches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$

JLH
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