[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 231749
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
148 PM EDT Thu Jul 23 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 9.6N 48.3W at 23/1500
UTC or 769 nm E of the Southern Windward Islands moving W at 12
kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. Numerous
moderate and scattered strong convection is noted within 90 nm
east and 60 nm west semicircles of Gonzalo. Gonzalo is forecast
to reach hurricane intensity tomorrow. For more information,
please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT2.shtml, and the
Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/
MIATCMAT2.shtml for more details.

Tropical Depression Eight is centered near 26.3N 90.7W at
23/1500 UTC or 330 nm ESE of Port Oconnor Texas moving WNW at 8
kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Numerous
moderate and scattered strong convection is noted within 180 nm
of the center of the system. Swells generated by the depression
are expected to increase, and affect much of the Texas and
Louisiana coasts in a day or two which may cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult advisories and
bulletins from your local weather office. For more information,
please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT3.shtml, and the
Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/
MIATCMAT3.shtml for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 33W, from 20N southward,
moving westward 15 to 20 knots. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 17N to 21N between 31W and 38W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W, from 18N southward,
moving westward 20 to 25 knots. Scattered moderate convection is
from 18N to 21N between 56W and 60W. Isolated moderate convection
is noted within 60 nm east of the wave axis.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 67W, from 19N southward,
moving westward 20 knots. Isolated moderate convection is noted
within 90 nm of the wave axis from 13N to 16N.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 78W, from 21N southward,
moving westward 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 17N to 20N between 75W and 78W.

The axis of tropical wave is moving through the SW Gulf of
Mexico, near 95W from 20N southward, moving westward 10 to 15
knots. Scattered moderate convection is from 17N to 20N between
76W and 80W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
S of 12N between 76W and 81W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 12N27W to 09N38W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 240
nm south of the monsoon trough between 12W and 22W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 10N between 35W and 44W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Tropical Depression Eight is near 26.3N 90.7W 1007 mb at
11 AM EDT moving WNW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt
gusts 40 kt. TD Eight will move to 26.7N 91.8W this evening,
strengthen to a tropical storm near 27.4N 93.4W Fri morning,
27.8N 94.9W Fri evening, 28.0N 96.5W Sat morning, inland to 28.0N
98.0W Sat evening, and move inland and weaken to a tropical
depression near 27.9N 99.3W Sun morning. The system is expected
to move inland near 27.5N 101.0W by early Mon.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the western Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is near 9.6N 48.3W 997 mb at 11 AM EDT
moving W at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt.
Gonzalo will move to 9.8N 50.0W this evening, strengthen to a
hurricane near 10.1N 52.7W Fri morning, 10.5N 55.7W Fri evening,
11.2N 59.0W Sat morning, 11.9N 62.3W Sat evening, and 12.6N
65.4W Sun morning. Gonzalo will weaken to a tropical storm near
14.0N 71.4W early Mon.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure of 1028 mb is centered near 33N51W, with associated
ridge extending westward along 32W.

This ridge will support pulses of fresh to locally strong winds
off Hispaniola and near the entrance to the Windward Passage
during the night hours this weekend. Winds and seas will
increase E of 65W as high pressure builds across the western
Atlantic.

$$
Formosa
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