[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 231001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
601 AM EDT Thu Jul 23 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 10.0N 47.0W at 23/0900
UTC or 840 nm E of the Southern Windward Islands moving W at 10
kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. Numerous
moderate and scattered strong convection is noted within 90 nm
east and 60 nm west semicircles of Gonzalo. Gonzalo is forecast to
reach hurricane intensity today. For more information, please
read the latest NHC Public Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT2.shtml, and the
Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT2.shtml
for more details.

Tropical Depression Eight is centered near 26.0N 90.0W at
23/0900 UTC or 370 nm ESE of Port Oconnor Texas moving WNW at 8
kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Numerous
moderate and scattered strong convection is noted within 60 nm of
the center of the system. Swells generated by the depression are
expected to increase, and affect much of the Texas and Louisiana
coasts in a day or two which may cause life- threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult advisories and bulletins
from your local weather office. For more information, please read
the latest NHC Public Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT3.shtml, and the
Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT3.shtml
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 31W, from 20N southward,
moving westward 15 to 20 knots. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 17N to 21N between 26W and 34W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 60W, from 18N southward,
moving westward 20 to 25 knots. Scattered moderate convection is
from 18N to 21N between 56W and 60W. Isolated moderate convection
is noted within 60 nm east of the wave axis.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 66W, from 19N southward,
moving westward 20 knots. Isolated moderate convection is noted
within 60 nm east of the wave axis from 13N to 16N.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 76W, from 21N southward,
moving westward 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 17N to 20N between 75W and 78W.

The axis of tropical wave is moving through the SW Gulf of
Mexico, near 95W from 20N southward, moving westward 10 to 15
knots. Scattered moderate convection is noted over this area.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 17N16W to 09.5N35W to 10N40W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 180
nm south of the monsoon trough between 25W and 39W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Tropical Depression Eight near 26.0N 90.0W 1009 mb at 5 AM EDT
moving WNW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 25 kt gusts 35 kt.
Eight will move to 26.4N 91.0W this afternoon, 27.1N 92.3W Fri
morning, strengthen to a tropical storm near 27.7N 94.0W Fri
afternoon, 28.0N 95.5W Sat morning, and inland to 28.2N 97.0W Sat
afternoon.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the western Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo was near 10.0N 47.0W 997 mb at 5 AM EDT
moving W at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds were 55 kt gusts 65
kt. Gonzalo is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane near 10.1N
48.7W this afternoon. The system is forecast to move into the
eastern Caribbean Saturday night, and move along a WNW track.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure of 1026 mb is centered near 33N48W, with associated
ridge extending westward along 32W.

This ridge will support pulses of fresh to locally strong winds
off Hispaniola and near the entrance to the Windward Passage for
the next several nights. The wind speeds and the sea heights will
increase E of 65W toward the end of the week as high pressure
continues to build across the western Atlantic Ocean.

$$
AL
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net