[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 31 18:25:36 CDT 2019


ABNT20 KNHC 312325
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of disturbed weather stretching from central and eastern
Cuba northward to the central and southeastern Bahamas is forecast
to move northwestward tonight and Thursday, and then move
northward on across Florida and the northwestern Bahamas on Friday.
This system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over
portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas and Florida during the
next few days. Conditions could become marginally conducive for
development over the weekend while the system turns and accelerates
northeastward off the southeastern U.S. coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A broad low pressure system is producing a large area of cloudiness
and shower activity several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for significant development of this disturbance during
the next couple of days while it moves westward at about 15 mph
across the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. However, conditions are
forecast to become more conducive for development over the weekend,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week
several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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