[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-120530-

Tropical Storm Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 21
National Weather Service Raleigh NC  AL142018
523 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

This product covers central North Carolina

**TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WILL CROSS NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
 THROUGH MID EVENING**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Alamance, Anson,
      Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe, Forsyth,
      Franklin, Granville, Guilford, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke,
      Johnston, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Nash, Orange, Person,
      Randolph, Richmond, Sampson, Scotland, Stanly, Vance, Wake,
      Warren, Wayne, and Wilson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 20 miles north-northwest of Raleigh NC or about 50 miles
      east of Greensboro NC
    - 36.1N 78.8W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 50 degrees at 24 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Michael will impact Central North Carolina through this
evening. Storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches with locally
higher amounts are expected, mainly in areas along and north of Highway
64 and west of Interstate 95. This rainfall could result in flash
flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas. River
flooding remains likely in many areas, with severity ranging from minor
across eastern North Carolina to moderate and major across central and
western portions of North Carolina. The threat for river flooding will
linger into early next week.

In addition, sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph is likely, and a few
gusts to 40 to 50 mph are possible, especially through mid evening.
Winds of this magnitude combined with saturated soils will result in
scattered downed trees and power lines, resulting in the potential for
structural damage and power outages.

Finally, there is the potential for a few short-lived tornadoes
through the early evening over the far northeast Piedmont and over the
northern Coastal Plain.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
central North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind
having additional impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
north central North Carolina. Remain well guarded against life-
threatening flood waters having possible extensive impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become
      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become
      stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
south central North Carolina. Remain well guarded against dangerous
flood waters having possible limited to significant impacts.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across northeast
North Carolina. Remain well braced against a tornado event having
possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across central North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see readync.org
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Raleigh NC around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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