[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 10 16:34:07 CDT 2018


WTUS82 KJAX 102133
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-133-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-110545-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL142018
533 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**EYE OF MICHAEL MOVING THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA TONIGHT**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Appling, Bacon,
      Brantley, Charlton, Clinch, Coastal Camden, Coastal Glynn,
      Columbia, Echols, Gilchrist, Hamilton, Inland Camden, Inland
      Glynn, Pierce, Suwannee, Ware, and Wayne
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Atkinson, Coffee, and Jeff
      Davis

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 220 miles west of Jacksonville FL or about 160 miles west
      of Waycross GA
    - 30.9N 85.1W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Major Hurricane Michael moved ashore over the FL panhandle earlier this
afternoon and will lift northeast through late tonight into southwest Georgia
and to inland South Carolina Thursday morning. Hurricane force wind gusts are
very possible for Atkinson, Coffee, and Jeff Davis this evening into tonight.
Tropical storm force winds likely over parts of southeast Georgia and inland
northeast Florida. Torrential bands of rain will affect the area tonight with
associated very gusty winds of 40 to 60 mph. A few tornadoes are also possible
over inland areas as rainbands move through and a tornado watch remains in
effect. Inland and river flooding is also a concern over the weekend and
early next week, mainly across southeast Georgia closest to the
track of Hurricane Michael.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across inland southeast Georgia. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the rest of the forecast area.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across inland southeast Georgia. Potential
impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the rest of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across the tornado watch area which includes all of northeast
Florida and southeast Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 1130 PM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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