[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KTBW 102130
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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL142018
530 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida

**DANGEROUS HURRICANE MICHAEL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
  OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO GEORGIA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Storm Surge Watch has been cancelled for Coastal
      Hillsborough, Coastal Manatee, and Pinellas
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Coastal
      Citrus, Coastal Levy, Inland Citrus, and Inland Levy

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Coastal Citrus, Coastal
      Hernando, Coastal Levy, and Coastal Pasco

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 170 miles northwest of Cedar Key FL or about 270 miles
      north-northwest of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL
    - 30.9N 85.1W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 16 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...

Hurricane Michael is forecast to continue to move north northeast over
the Florida panhandle into Georgia and will impact West Central and
Southwest Florida through Thursday. The primary concerns at this time
will be dangerous storm surge flooding, especially along the Nature
Coast region, heavy rainfall which may cause localized flooding, and
tropical storm force winds, mainly close to the coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across Crystal River northward. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
      barriers may become stressed.
    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible
significant impacts from the Anclote River to Crystal River.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts from Anna Maria to the Anclote River, including Tampa Bay.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Levy County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential
impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across the Nature Coast region. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across the rest of west central and southwest Florida.

Elsewhere across West Central and Southwest Florida, little to no
impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
An evacuation order is in place for Levy County residents and visitors
in the coastal areas of Levy County, including, but not limited to,
Cedar Key, Yankeetown, Fowlers Bluff, Fanning Springs, and any other
area prone to storm surge.

A mandatory evacuation order for zone A and manufactured homes in Citrus
County is in place.

A voluntary evacuation order is in place for zones A and B as well as
manufactured homes in Hernando County beginning at 8 AM EDT Tuesday.

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle.

Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle.

Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all clear
to return.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 12 AM, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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