[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBMX 100406
HLSBMX
ALZ049-050-101215-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Birmingham AL  AL142018
1106 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers Central Alabama

**Tropical Storm Force Winds May Impact Portions of Southeast Alabama**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbour and Pike

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 440 miles south of Birmingham AL or about 360 miles south
      of Montgomery AL
    - 27.1N 86.5W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Michael will continue to move toward the north through
tonight, before turning northeast toward the Florida Panhandle on
Wednesday. The storm could strengthen to a category 4 hurricane before
landfall, but will rapidly weaken as it moves inland. There is a
chance that our southeastern most counties could see a brief window of
stronger winds on the northwest side of Michael. Heavy rains will also
be a threat across the far southeast as the storm moves inland.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across Pike and Barbour Counties. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across areas southeast of Interstate 85.

Elsewhere across Central Alabama, little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across Pike, Bullock, Barbour, and Russell Counties. Potential
impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become
      swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas.
      Several storm drains and retention ponds become near-full and
      begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge closures.

Elsewhere across Central Alabama, little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across Central
Alabama.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on
a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong
winds or flooding.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Birmingham AL around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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