[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Tue Oct 9 22:49:18 CDT 2018

WTUS84 KMOB 100348
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101200-

Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL142018
1048 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**DANGEROUS HURRICANE MICHAEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN**
**HURRICANE MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL JUST EAST OF
PANAMA CITY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Hurricane Warning has been cancelled and a Tropical Storm
      Warning has been issued for Escambia Inland and Santa Rosa
      Inland

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central,
      Baldwin Coastal, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw,
      Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and
      Santa Rosa Inland
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Okaloosa Inland
    - A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
      Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 240 miles south of Pensacola FL or about 230 miles south
      of Destin FL
    - 27.1N 86.5W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 10:00 PM CDT, Major Hurricane Michael was located near latitude
27.1 North, longitude 86.5 West, with maximum sustained winds of 125
mph. Michael was moving north at 12 mph and will continue northward
through tonight then change to a northeastward motion on Wednesday
before making landfall over the Florida panhandle. Wind impacts are
expected to begin late tonight into early Wednesday morning, and
continue through Wednesday. Storm surge inundation up to 2 and 4 feet
is expected from the Alabama and Florida state line eastward to the
Okaloosa and Walton county line. Along the Alabama coast, coastal
flooding with inundation between 1 and 2 feet is expected. A Flash
Flood Watch is in effect for Covington county Alabama and Okaloosa
county Florida. Please continue to monitor the latest forecast and
prepare now for possible strong winds, storm surge flooding, and
heavy rainfall.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across portions of south central Alabama and the western
Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts mainly across southwestern Alabama.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal Alabama.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts mainly across Covington county Alabama and Okaloosa
county Florida where a Flash Flood Watch is in effect. Potential
impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi,
little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net