[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 8 22:00:15 CDT 2017


WTNT31 KWNH 090259
TCPAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL162017
1100 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

...NATE MOVING THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.4N 85.5W
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...ENE OF NASHVILLE TENNESSEE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
HIGH WIND WARNINGS AND WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS
OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST.
DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH NATE IS ON THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION AS IT CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE
ASYMMETRIC. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL RATES ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE WESTERN MID-ATLANTIC. FARTHER NORTH
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY, TROPICAL MOISTURE IS INTERACTING WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY, LEADING TO MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. NATE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD, MOVING INTO EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY STATES BY MONDAY MORNING AND INTO THE
NORTHEAST MONDAY EVENING AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS EASTERN TENNESSEE, UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA, AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS,
OHIO VALLEY, LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION, AND PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST
WEST OF I-95, THE REMNANTS OF NATE WILL BRING A TOTAL OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11
PM EDT

...ALABAMA...
DIXON                                 6.94
FOLEY                                 6.54
ELBA 1 NNW                            5.55
MOBILE                                4.91
LEE 1 E                               4.80
LOWRY MILL                            4.68
BIRMINGHAM                            2.81
WEDOWEE                               2.60

...FLORIDA...
CRESTVIEW                             8.32
HURLBURT FIELD                        4.34

...GEORGIA...
BRASSTOWN                             5.18
SKY VALLEY                            4.97
UNION 3 SSW                           4.86
ANNA RUBY FALLS 3 N                   4.82
CHOESTOE                              4.34
LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN                      4.19
HIGDONS STORE                         4.14
THOMASVILLE                           2.38
SMYRNA                                2.19
DALTON                                2.11

...KENTUCKY...
GREENVILLE 6 SSW                      6.12
HOPKINSVILLE                          5.72
EDDYVILLE 5 S                         5.28
LEITCHFIELD                           5.02
BAIZETOWN 3 ESE                       4.90
MADRID 3 S                            4.63
BENTON                                4.60
ROCHESTER 1 NNW                       4.40
CLERMONT 1 N                          4.17
CHAPLIN 3 ENE                         4.14
TONNIEVILLE 3 NW                      4.06
BALLTOWN 2 SW                         4.03

...LOUISIANA...
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT ARPT            1.13

...MISSISSIPPI...
BILOXI KEESLER AFB                    4.56

...NORTH CAROLINA...
GREAT FALLS                          11.62
BEAR CREEK                           11.17
HOGBACK                              10.48
HIGHLANDS                             9.37
RIDGECREST                            6.82
CHESTNUT FLATS                        6.80
SANDY FLATS                           6.58
COWEE FD                              5.99
BEAVER CREEK                          5.64

...OHIO...
MILL CREEK                            3.48
HOPEVILLE                             2.64

...TENNESSEE...
HIXSON                                5.36
SOUTH PITTSBURG                       4.52
GROTTO FALLS                          4.51
MILE STRAIGHT                         3.52
COALMONT                              2.67


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  500 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER TATE

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 09/0300Z 36.4N 85.5W
12HR VT 09/1200Z 40.0N 81.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$
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