[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Oct 8 15:47:44 CDT 2017


WTNT31 KWNH 082047
TCPAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL162017
500 PM EDT SUN OCT 08 2017

...NATE MOVING INLAND WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.0N 86.5W
ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...S OF NASHVILLE METRO TENNESSEE
ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...NE OF HUNTSVILLE/MADISON ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
HIGH WIND WARNINGS AND WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS
OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS
OF THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST.
RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH NATE ON THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS OF THE
CIRCULATION AND IT CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ASYMMETRIC. FEEDER
BANDS WITH INTENSE RAINFALL ARE STREAMING NORTHWARD ACROSS FLORIDA
AND GEORGIA INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. FURTHER NORTH ACROSS
THE OHIO VALLEY, TROPICAL MOISTURE IS INTERACTING WITH A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LEADING TO HEAVY RAINFALL. NATE WILL CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST MOVING BY THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS IN
24 HOURS AND THROUGH THE NORTHEAST EXITING MAINE ON TUESDAY.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS NEAR
6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN TENNESSEE AND NORTHERN GEORGIA INTO
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA, WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA, AND SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, OHIO VALLEY, LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION,
AND PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST WEST OF I-95, THE REMNANTS OF NATE WILL
BRING A TOTAL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5
PM EDT

...ALABAMA...
DIXON                                 6.93
FOLEY                                 6.54
ELBA 1 NNW                            5.55
LEE 1 E                               4.80
LOWRY MILL                            4.68
MOBILE                                3.59
WEDOWEE                               2.60

...FLORIDA...
CRESTVIEW                             7.51
MILTON                                6.99
HURLBURT FIELD                        4.34

...GEORGIA...
BRASSTOWN                             3.66
SKY VALLEY                            3.58
THOMASVILLE                           2.38
SMYRNA                                2.19
DALTON                                2.11

...KENTUCKY...
GREENVILLE 6 SSW                      6.12
BAIZETOWN 3 ESE                       4.90
MADRID 3 S                            4.63
ROCHESTER 1 NNW                       4.40
CLERMONT 1 N                          4.17
CHAPLIN 3 ENE                         4.14
TONNIEVILLE 3 NW                      4.06
LEITCHFIELD 3 WSW                     4.05
BALLTOWN 2 SW                         4.03

...LOUISIANA...
SLIDELL                               6.95
METAIRIE                              4.30

...MISSISSIPPI...
BILOXI KEESLER AFB                    4.56

...NORTH CAROLINA...
COWEE FD                              5.99
BEAVER CREEK                          5.64

...TENNESSEE...
MILE STRAIGHT                         3.52
COALMONT                              2.67


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KREKELER

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 08/2100Z 35.0N 86.5W
12HR VT 09/0600Z 38.5N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRA TROP
24HR VT 09/1800Z 42.5N 76.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRA TROP
$$
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