[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 110537
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more concentrated in
association with a low pressure system located about 975 miles east
of the Lesser Antilles.  Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later
today or Monday while this disturbance moves northwestward to north-
northwestward over the central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with an area of disturbed
weather located near the southeastern Bahamas have diminished.
There are no signs of a surface circulation associated with this
system, and conditions are not conducive for development of this
disturbance while it moves generally west-northwestward at around
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A weak area of low pressure located over the extreme southeastern
Gulf of Mexico continues to remain devoid of thunderstorm activity.
Upper-level winds are not favorable, and development of this system
is not expected. The low is forecast to weaken while it moves
westward to west-southwestward at 5 to 10 mph into the central Gulf
of Mexico during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain
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