[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 061633
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-070000-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
1233 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

**HERMINE SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN
      MIDDLESEX AND SOUTHERN NEW LONDON HAS BEEN CANCELLED

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUFFOLK
      COUNTY ON LONG ISLAND

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 110
      MILES SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT NY
    - 39.5N 71.9W
    - STORM INTENSITY 60 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

AT 1100 AM EDT, THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS
LOCATED A LITTLE OVER 100 MILES SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT, AND WAS
MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A SLOW AND ERRATIC
MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND HERMINE MAY WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE BY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM
THE CENTER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUFFOLK COUNTY,
AND HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR ALL OF COASTAL CONNECTICUT.

THERE REMAINS POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION ACROSS LOW
LYING AREAS OF LONG ISLAND, ESPECIALLY THOSE LOCATIONS MOST
VULNERABLE TO STORM SURGE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR MAINLY
IN OPEN AREAS AND IN AREAS WITH A GREATER NORTHERLY EXPOSURE,
INCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE NORTH SHORE OF SUFFOLK COUNTY AND ACROSS
FIRE ISLAND.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS WILL BE UNFOLDING WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS OF LONG ISLAND. IF REALIZED,
THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
      IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
      FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
      WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE
      SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP
      CURRENTS.
    - MINOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW
      SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
BATTERING SURF CAPABLE OF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND
OVERWASHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DANGEROUSLY
ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK IS ALSO EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

* WIND:
POTENTIAL LIMITED IMPACTS FROM THE WIND CONTINUE ACROSS SUFFOLK
COUNTY. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
    - SOME TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF.
    - HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON SOME BRIDGES AND OTHER
      ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - ISOLATED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* RIP CURRENTS:
A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES AT THE OCEAN BEACHES. RIP CURRENTS
ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY FROM SHORE,
WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN SANDBARS AND NEAR
STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS, JETTIES, AND PIERS. TALK TO LIFEGUARDS
AND BEACH OFFICIALS TO LEARN ABOUT ANY SURF HAZARDS AND HEED THEIR
ADVICE. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED SIGNS AND SWIM ONLY IN
LIFE GUARDED AREAS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT, YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN CALM,
DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF, AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR HELP.
IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT, SWIM PARALLEL TO SHORE.
ONCE YOU ARE AWAY FROM THE FORCE OF THE RIP CURRENT, BEGIN TO SWIM
BACK TOWARD THE BEACH. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST
RIP CURRENTS AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER.
LOCATE YOUR BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND FLASHLIGHT FROM YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT. KEEP THESE ITEMS HANDY.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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