[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 061106
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-061915-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
706 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY
AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

**HERMINE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN NEW
      HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...NORTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK AND
      SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 100
      MILES SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT NY
    - 39.6N 71.6W
    - STORM INTENSITY 65 MPH
    - MOVEMENT WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH.
A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, AND
HERMINE WILL LIKELY BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY BY TONIGHT. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY.

THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION ACROSS
LOW-LYING AREAS OF LONG ISLAND, ESPECIALLY THOSE LOCATIONS MOST
VULNERABLE TO STORM SURGE. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS FAR
EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUFFOLK COUNTY AND
SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL
CONNECTICUT.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS OF LONG ISLAND. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
      IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
      FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
      WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE
      SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP
      CURRENTS.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
BATTERING SURF CAPABLE OF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND
OVERWASHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DANGEROUSLY
ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK IS ALSO EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS
      EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE
      HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER
      NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL
      FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
      IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
STAY TUNED TO ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL OFFICIALS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER.
LOCATE YOUR BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND FLASHLIGHT FROM YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT. KEEP THESE ITEMS CLOSE.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND NOON EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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