[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 050356
HLSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-051200-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
1156 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

**HERMINE TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
 DAYS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS
  BEEN CANCELLED FOR ALL OF NEW YORK CITY...AND NASSAU...SOUTHERN
  WESTCHESTER...HUDSON...EASTERN UNION...EASTERN ESSEX...AND
  SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES.

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN NEW
      HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...NORTHWESTERN
      SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK AND
      SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 320
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT NY
    - 37.2N 68.5W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
NEAR 3 MPH. IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CLOSEST APPROACH OF HERMINE WILL BE
APPROXIMATELY 165 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LONG ISLAND...NEW YORK
CITY...AND SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
HUDSON...EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...
COASTAL CONNECTICUT...AND ALL ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE A LITTLE FARTHER INLAND.

SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM SUNDAY ONWARD. HAZARDOUS
SEAS...DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT
RISK CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

THE FORECAST AREA WILL RESIDE ON THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE RAIN
SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH HERMINE. THEREFORE...NO HEAVY RAINFALL IS
FORECAST ACROSS THE REGION AT THIS TIME.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS LOW LYING COMMUNITIES ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE AND EASTERN
BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG
      IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN AREAS
      FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME OVERSPREAD
      WITH SURGE WATER. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE
      SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING DUNES, MAINLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP
      CURRENTS.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
BATTERING SURF CAPABLE OF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND
OVERWASHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK. DANGEROUSLY ROUGH
SURF...AND A LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN ABOUT.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES SNAPPED OR
      UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE
      SHALLOW ROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - A FEW ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ON
      BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF
BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER
OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND 6 AM, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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