[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 050353
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-051200-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
1153 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS CANCELLED FOR NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AS
 HERMINE IS NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE TO SPARE
 THE AREA WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 360 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 400
      MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DOVER DE
    - 37.2N 68.5W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

POST-TROPICAL STORM HERMINE CONTINUES TO MEANDER SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. HERMINE IS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM
THAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT
DAY, BUT THE TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE TO SPARE THE REGION
WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM WIND, RAIN AND STORM SURGE.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WERE CANCELLED FOR ALL OF NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE BUT REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THEIR COASTAL WATERS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH LAND. IT WILL
STILL BE BREEZY AT THE SHORE ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AROUND 25 MPH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR LOCATIONS NEAR AND JUST
INLAND FROM THE COAST IN DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY, INCLUDING THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS, RARITAN BAY, AND THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ARRIVE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY, AND COULD LINGER INTO TUESDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE NOW
EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED ALONG THE COAST AND THE ADJACENT WATERS, WITH
WINDY CONDITIONS JUST INLAND AS WELL.

COASTAL FLOODING WILL STILL POSE A RISK TO PROPERTY, PARTICULARLY
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE MONDAY LATE MORNING-EARLY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY NIGHT. MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED
TO OCCUR ALONG THE OCEAN-FRONT, BACK BAYS, AND THE DELAWARE BAY,
A REASONABLE WORST CASE SCENARIO IS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR, BUT WITH THE HERMINE REMAINING WELL
OFFSHORE, MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. COASTAL FLOOD
WARNINGS WERE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THAT
ARE ALONG THE COAST AND THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. PLEASE REFER
TO THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING PRODUCT FOR MORE DETAILS.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUS SURF WILL STILL PERSIST ON LABOR DAY
WEEKEND AND LIKELY THROUGH MIDWEEK. A HIGH RISK FOR THE FORMATION
OF LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS HAS LEAD TO SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS
OVER THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION HAS OCCURRED
AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE: PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE
  LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS OF NEW JERSEY
  AND DELAWARE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH COASTAL FLOODING
      MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS,
      OR IN AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS
      MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS COULD BECOME
      OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE
      POSSIBLE IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING
      DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP
      CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

AS IT PERTAINS TO THIS EVENT...THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ REGARDING
THE EFFECTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE HAZARDS UPON THE AREA.

$$
KLEIN
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