[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KPHI 020430
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-021230-

HURRICANE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
1230 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**HERMINE TO IMPACT THE REGION OVER LABOR DAY WEEKEND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...OCEAN...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE
      MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN
      BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 870 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 820
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER DE
    - 29.7N 84.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 80 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

HERMINE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE LOCATED NEAR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL LATE TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEAKEN BEFORE
ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AS A TROPICAL STORM. IT WILL THEN MOVE
OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. HERMINE IS
THEN FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHEAST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST, BUT
WILL LIKELY SLOW DOWN OR POSSIBLY EVEN STALL OFFSHORE LATER ON
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST INCLUDING SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND COASTAL NEW JERSEY
FROM CAPE MAY TO SANDY HOOK. THIS WATCH ALSO INCLUDES COASTAL
WATERS AND THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING COASTAL
WATERS AND THE LOWER BAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS MAY OCCUR
FARTHER INLAND, ESPECIALLY IF THE STORM TAKES A TRACK CLOSER TO
THE COAST.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A MODERATE TO HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES THIS WEEKEND AND
POSSIBLY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE SATURDAY
ONWARD. SOME LOCALIZED MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING CAN NOT BE RULED OUT,
ESPECIALLY IN THE BACK BAYS WHERE WATER ACCUMULATES WITH EACH
SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE. THIS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE PATH AND
STRENGTH OF THE STORM. TWO OR MORE INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST, WHICH MAY CAUSE FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS NEW
JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST
MARYLAND.. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES IS POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS COULD
      BE BLOWN AROUND.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS MAY BE BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES COULD BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS MAY BE BLOWN
      OVER.
    - A FEW ROADS COULD BE IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
      CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OR AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING,
INCLUDING THE BACK BAYS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN
      AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS COULD BECOME
      OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE
      POSSIBLE IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING
      DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP
      CURRENTS ARE ANTICIPATED.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS IS POSSIBLE. A FEW SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY
      FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR
NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
GROUND

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS
YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO
AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 6 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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