[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 1 23:24:43 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KTAE 020423
HLSTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-021230-

HURRICANE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL  AL092016
1223 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016 /1123 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016/

...EYE OF HERMINE SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND BAY...CALHOUN
      AND COASTAL BAY
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      BAY...CALHOUN AND COASTAL BAY
    - A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND GULF...INLAND
      FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...LEON...INLAND
      JEFFERSON...MADISON...LIBERTY...INLAND WAKULLA...INLAND
      TAYLOR...LAFAYETTE...COASTAL GULF...COASTAL FRANKLIN...COASTAL
      JEFFERSON...COASTAL WAKULLA...COASTAL TAYLOR AND COASTAL DIXIE
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
      HENRY...HOUSTON...WASHINGTON...JACKSON...INLAND
      DIXIE...QUITMAN...CLAY...RANDOLPH...CALHOUN...TERRELL...DOUGHERTY...LEE...WORTH...TURNER...TIFT...BEN
      HILL...IRWIN...EARLY...MILLER...BAKER...MITCHELL...COLQUITT...COOK...BERRIEN...SEMINOLE...DECATUR...GRADY...THOMAS...BROOKS...LOWNDES
      AND LANIER

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 40 MILES EAST OF APALACHICOLA OR ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF
      TALLAHASSEE
    - 29.7N 84.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 80 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

THE LANDFALL OF HURRICANE HERMINE ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND IN APALACHEE
BAY IS IMMINENT. HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL AREAS
IN THE BIG BEND, AS WELL AS INLAND COUNTIES ALONG I-10 FROM LIBERTY COUNTY
TO MADISON COUNTY. IMPACTS WISE, HEAVY RAIN AND THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING
CONTINUE TO BATTER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND AREAS INLAND. STORM SURGE IS
OCCURRING IN APALACHEE BAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
WIND DAMAGE IS TO BE EXPECTED WHICH WILL CAUSE POWER OUTAGES AND STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE. THE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
TRACK OF THE CENTER OF HERMINE. PLEASE FOLLOW GUIDANCE FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. REMAIN WELL SHELTERED FROM LIFE-THREATENING WIND
HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR DAMAGE TO FRAME BUILT HOMES, WITH SOME EXPERIENCING
      PARTIAL ROOF OR WALL COLLAPSE. NUMEROUS WINDOWS AND GARAGE
      DOORS WILL FAIL, LEADING TO ADDITIONAL STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
      MOBILE HOMES SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED, WITH MANY DESTROYED. DAMAGE
      INCREASED BY LARGE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE
      FOR DAYS TO WEEKS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED WITH ROADWAY SIGNS
      BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME PRIMARY AND MANY SECONDARY ROADS ARE IMPASSIBLE DUE TO
      DEBRIS.
    - SIGNIFICANT POWER AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES; POTENTIALLY
      LASTING FOR WEEKS.

* SURGE:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN SURGE EVENT ARE NOW UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. REMAIN WELL AWAY FROM LIFE-THREATENING
SURGE HAVING POTENTIAL DEVASTATING IMPACTS. IF
REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - WIDESPREAD, DEEP, AND POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC INUNDATION FROM
      STORM SURGE COMPOUNDED BY LARGE, POWERFUL BATTERING WAVES.
      SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES IN THE
      AREA, WITH MANY WASHED AWAY; LARGER STRUCTURES, SUCH AS
      CONDOMINIUMS AND HOTELS WILL SUFFER SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE; SOME
      WITH POOR SUPPORT WILL BE PRONE TO COLLAPSE. FLOATING DEBRIS
      WILL CREATE FURTHER DAMAGE. THOSE NOT EVACUATING RISK BEING
      SWEPT TO THEIR DEATHS. AREAS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - COASTAL HIGHWAYS AND SECONDARY ACCESS ROADS WILL BE WASHED OUT
      OR RENDERED IMPASSABLE, ISOLATING COASTAL COMMUNITIES.
    - EXTREME BEACH EROSION WITH NEW SHORELINE CUTS POSSIBLE.
    - EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, AND PIERS. SMALL CRAFT NOT
      SECURED PRIOR TO THE STORM WILL BREAK AWAY FROM MOORINGS
      POTENTIALLY WASHING ASHORE AND BEING STRANDED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE FLOODING RAIN ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. REMAIN WELL GUARDED AGAINST
LIFE-THREATENING FLOOD WATERS HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS.
IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR FLOODING FROM RAINFALL WILL PROMPT EVACUATIONS IN FLOOD
      PRONE AREAS. THOSE NOT HEEDING EVACUATIONS IN THESE LOCATIONS
      FACE SERIOUS INJURY OR DEATH.
    - RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAM WILL RISE AND
      OVERFLOW INTO THE FLOOD PLAIN. RUNOFF WILL PUT STRESS ON AREA
      HOLDING PONDS AND DRAINAGE DITCHES, INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD
      OF WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING.
    - FLOOD WATERS WILL IMPACT STRUCTURES IN LOW LYING AREAS, AS WELL
      AS THOSE IN THE FLOOD PLAIN, POSSIBLY ENTERING BUILDINGS. URBAN
      FLOODING WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES AND SOME
      WASHOUTS. A FEW OVERPASSES MAY BE WEAKENED BY FAST MOVING FLOOD
      WATERS. DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE VERY DANGEROUS.

* TORNADOES:
POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES ARE STILL UNFOLDING ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. REMAIN WELL BRACED AGAINST A TORNADO EVENT
HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS. IF REALIZED, THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED, RESULTING IN A NOTABLE IMPACT
      TO AFFECTED COMMUNITIES.
    - ISOLATED AREAS AFFECTED BY TORNADOES WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR
      DAMAGE, INCLUDING SOME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES AND SPORADIC POWER
      AND COMMUNICATION OUTAGES.
    - A FEW STRUCTURES WILL BE DAMAGED BY TORNADOES, MAINLY WITH LOSS
      OF SHINGLES OR SIDING. SOME MOBILE HOMES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY
      DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY THOSE UNANCHORED. LARGE TREES WILL BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

NOW IS THE TIME TO REMAIN SAFELY SHELTERED FROM THE STORM. STAY
INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LISTEN FOR UPDATES AND BE READY IN CASE
YOU LOSE ELECTRICAL POWER. LOCATE YOUR BATTERY POWERED RADIO AND
FLASHLIGHT FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. KEEP THESE ITEMS CLOSE.

CONTINUE TO KEEP YOUR CELL PHONE WELL CHARGED FOR AS LONG AS
POSSIBLE. IF YOU LOSE POWER, USE IT MORE SPARINGLY AND MAINLY FOR
PERSONAL EMERGENCIES AND CHECK-INS. DO NOT OVERLOAD COMMUNICATIONS
SYSTEMS WITH IDLE CHATTER.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE WHILE IN THE EYE OF A HURRICANE. WITHIN THE
EYE, WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY TEMPORARILY IMPROVE WHICH CAN BE
MISLEADING. ONCE THE EYE PASSES, THE WIND WILL CHANGE DIRECTION AND
RETURN TO DANGEROUS SPEEDS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO RETURN. BE SMART AND
REMAIN SAFELY HIDDEN FROM THE STORM.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE FL AROUND , OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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