[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 5 11:08:54 CDT 2016


WTUS82 KJAX 051608
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-060015-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL  AL142016
1208 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

**MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW HEADING FOR THE BAHAMAS AND MOVING TOWARD
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND NASSAU...INLAND
      DUVAL...CLAY...ST. JOHNS...PUTNAM...FLAGLER...COASTAL NASSAU
      AND COASTAL DUVAL
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
      BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...ALACHUA AND MARION

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FL OR ABOUT 640 MILES
      SOUTHEAST OF FLAGLER BEACH FL
    - 21.8N 75.2W
    - STORM INTENSITY 120 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL BE MOVING NORTHWEST INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TODAY. THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO TAKE MATTHEW NORTHWEST THROUGH
PARTS OF THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY WITH MOVEMENT CLOSELY PARALLELING
THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS
WILL INCREASE ESPECIALLY FOR COASTAL AREAS AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR INLAND AREAS.
THE STORM SURGE THREAT COULD BE LIFE THREATENING WITH WATER
LEVELS OF AT LEAST 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
RAINBANDS MAY CAUSE FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
RESIDENTS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND
INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING IMPACTS
ACROSS OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
      AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
      GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
      MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS OVER THE REST OF THE AREA.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. STORM SURGE MAY EXTEND FAR INLAND ALONG RIVERS AND
      CREEKS AND YOU MAY STILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING EVEN THOUGH YOU
      ARE NOT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. IF YOU ARE ASKED TO EVACUATE
      IT IS BECAUSE YOU ARE IN, OR NEAR, AN AREA THAT HAS BEEN
      IDENTIFIED AS BEING SUBJECT TO STORM SURGE, PLEASE HEED THE
      ADVICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS! DAMAGE TO SEVERAL
      BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES AND BEACH
      ACCESS AREAS. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS EASTERN PARTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
      CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
      IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND
      DITCHES OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL
NORTHEAST FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
      TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
      LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
      KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
      PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA, LITTLE TO
NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF EVACUATING THE AREA, STICK TO PRESCRIBED EVACUATION ROUTES.
LOOK FOR ADDITIONAL TRAFFIC INFORMATION ON ROADWAY SMART SIGNS
AND LISTEN TO SELECT RADIO CHANNELS FOR FURTHER TRAVEL INSTRUCTIONS.
DRIVERS SHOULD NOT USE CELL PHONES WHILE OPERATING VEHICLES.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF
BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED
SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE THAT IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND,
SUCH AS A MOBILE HOME, AN UPPER FLOOR OF A HIGH RISE BUILDING, OR ON
A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER. TAKE ENOUGH SUPPLIES FOR YOU
AND YOUR FAMILY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE FL AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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