[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 5 04:43:05 CDT 2016
WTUS82 KMLB 050942
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-051745-
HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL AL142016
542 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016
THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
...MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW NEARING THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS...
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INDIAN
RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...ST. LUCIE AND MARTIN
- A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND VOLUSIA
COUNTY...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...SOUTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY...OSCEOLA...COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY AND NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTY
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE
COUNTY...SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY
* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL OR ABOUT 570
MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL
- 21.1N 74.6W
- STORM INTENSITY 125 MPH
- MOVEMENT NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
MATTHEW WILL BE HEADED IN THE DIRECTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
TODAY. THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST TRACK TURNS
MATTHEW MORE NORTHWEST WHILE NEARING THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY WITH
MOVEMENT CLOSELY PARALLEL THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
THE RELATIVELY CLOSE APPROACH OF HURRICANE MATTHEW TO EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA WILL BRING A PERIOD OF DAMAGING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE
COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. INLAND
COUNTIES WILL ALSO SEE A LIKELIHOOD OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ROUGHLY FROM METRO ORLANDO EASTWARD WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEGINNING
THURSDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE TREASURE COAST, SPREADING NORTH AND
NORTHWEST ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
A MODERATE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS STORM SURGE INUNDATION ALONG THE
BARRIER ISLANDS IS POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR DANGEROUS STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST. LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK OVER 12 FEET
AND PRODUCE ROUGH, POUNDING SURF RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD OF
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG WITH VERY SEVERE BEACH AND DUNE EROSION.
HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR IN SQUALLS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. SOILS SATURATED IN
SOME AREAS FROM RECENT RAINS WILL QUICKLY COLLECT WATER.
STANDING WATER IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE CAPABLE OF ENTERING HOMES
AND BUSINESSES DURING THIS EVENT.
SMALL DEVIATIONS IN THE TRACK OF HURRICANE MATTHEW TO THE LEFT OF THE
NHC FORECAST COULD BRING THE CORE OF A MAJOR HURRICANE ONSHORE THE
FLORIDA COAST, WHILE A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT COULD KEEP THE
HAZARD OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS JUST OFFSHORE. IT WILL LIKELY TAKE
ANOTHER DAY OR SO TO BEST DEFINE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF MATTHEW OVER THE
AREA. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE STRONGLY
ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING IMPACTS
ACROSS THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA
INCLUDE:
- STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
- NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
ALSO, PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
- AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
- SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
SPOTS.
- MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
- MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, PIERS, AND OTHER
COASTAL STRUCTURES. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.
* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS,
ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
CANALS, AND DITCHES WILL OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS WITH SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.
* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH
A DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME.
BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND
TO ARRIVE.
IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.
IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE THAT IS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO HIGH WIND,
SUCH AS A MOBILE HOME, AN UPPER FLOOR OF A HIGH RISE BUILDING, OR ON
A BOAT, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER. TAKE ENOUGH SUPPLIES FOR YOU
AND YOUR FAMILY FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.
VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO
AREA VISITORS.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 12 PM, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
$$
JP
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