[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jun 18 04:18:49 CDT 2015


WTNT32 KWNH 180918
TCPAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
400 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVANCING NORTHWARD THROUGH
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 96.4W
ABOUT 80 MILES...129 KM...SE OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 025 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
EASTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN OHIO VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
 THE STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH AND WEST OF THE
CENTER WHERE WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED.
HEAVIER RAIN BANDS ARE VERY SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN MORE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST THURSDAY.  THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON THURSDAY AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY
FRIDAY.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI.  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              1.48
BENTONVILLE                          1.43

...OKLAHOMA...
NEWPORT                             13.07
BURNEYVILLE                         10.09
RINGLING                             8.27
SULPHUR                              7.09
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT               1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT              1.42

...TEXAS...
MONTAGUE                            12.50
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77
ALICE INTL ARPT                      9.03
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        8.09
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06
MANOR 5 WSW                          7.01
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW                   5.56
HILL COUNTRY VILLA 1 SE              4.67
ROCKPORT                             4.36
INEZ 1.8 WNW                         4.36
WACO 0.8 N                           3.91
AUSTIN 5 E                           3.72
NEW BRAUNFELS 3 WNW                  3.00
KINGSVILLE NAS                       2.90
RANDOLPH AFB                         2.65
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF                   2.51
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.43
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34
FORT HOOD AAF                        2.32
DENTON MUNI ARPT                     2.28
HOUSTON                              2.09
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT                   1.72
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 1.57
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                    1.42


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER CAMPBELL/SANTORELLI

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/0900Z 34.5N 96.4W
12HR VT 18/1800Z 35.6N 95.7W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 19/0600Z 36.1N 94.3W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/1800Z 36.8N 93.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 20/0600Z 37.5N 90.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 21/0600Z...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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