[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jun 17 22:01:14 CDT 2015


WTNT32 KWNH 180300
TCPAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL022015
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVANCING NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 97.3W
ABOUT 64 MILES...103 KM...NNW OF DALLAS TEXAS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...50 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 000 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF BOTH THE
EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA.  FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...FLOOD
WARNINGS AND FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT OVER MUCH OF EASTERN
TEXAS...EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA...AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND INTO PARTS OF THE MIDWEST.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.  THE
STORM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WITH HEALTHY RAINBAND STRUCTURES NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER
WHERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 35 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED.  HEAVIER RAIN
BANDS ARE VERY SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WHERE SOME OF THE CURRENT FLASH WARNINGS ARE IN
EFFECT.  BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY.  THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER OF BILL ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA ON EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND SOUTHERN
MISSOURI ON FRIDAY. BILL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...50 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...BILL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND
INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.  ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS OKLAHOMA.  THESE RAINS
MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.


RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT

...ARKANSAS...
HARRISON/BOONE CO. ARPT              1.48
BENTONVILLE                          1.43

...OKLAHOMA...
MUSKOGEE/DAVIS FIELD AIRPORT         2.55
PAULS VALLEY MUNI ARPT               1.69
BARTLESVILLE MUNI ARPT               1.51
MCALESTER REGIONAL ARPT              1.42

...TEXAS...
GANADO 1.5 W                        11.77
EL CAMPO 0.5 ENE                     8.57
SEALY 0.3 WNW                        8.09
ALICE INTL ARPT                      7.11
WF SAN JACINTO                       7.06
MANOR 5 WSW                          7.01
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW                   6.15
CORPUS CHRISTI                       6.14
HEMPSTEAD 3.4 NNW                    6.12
PORT LAVACA 0.9 NW                   5.56
HILL COUNTRY VILLA 1 SE              4.67
ROCKPORT                             4.36
INEZ 1.8 WNW                         4.36
WACO 0.8 N                           3.91
AUSTIN 5 E                           3.72
NEW BRAUNFELS 3 WNW                  3.00
KINGSVILLE NAS                       2.90
RANDOLPH AFB                         2.65
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL             2.51
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF                   2.51
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT                2.43
FORT WORTH NAS                       2.34
FORT HOOD AAF                        2.32
DENTON MUNI ARPT                     2.28
HOUSTON                              2.09
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT                   1.72
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR                 1.57
GALVESTON/SCHOLES                    1.42


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT  400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER FANNING

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 18/0300Z 33.7N 97.3W
12HR VT 18/1200Z 34.7N 96.4W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HR VT 19/0000Z 36.0N 94.5W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36HR VT 19/1200Z 36.8N 93.2W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
48HR VT 20/0000Z 37.2N 91.1W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
72HR VT 21/0000Z 39.0N 84.5W...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
96HR VT 22/0000Z 40.0N 73.0W...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
$$
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