[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 312040
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 24.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM N OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 24.6 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
through early tonight, and then move away from the Cape Verde
Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days,
however, Fred is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes
near the northwestern Cape Verde Island early tonight.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through early
tonight.  Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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