[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 311749
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
200 PM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...FRED BRINGING VERY HEAVY RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...
...CENTER PASSING VERY NEAR SAO NICOLAU ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 24.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NNE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA GRANDE IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 24.2 West. Fred is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through tonight.  A turn toward the
west-northwest is expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Fred is expected to pass near or over the northwestern
Cape Verde Islands through early tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through early tonight
while Fred passes near the northwestern Cape Verde Islands. Gradual
weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm and hurricane conditions are expected to
spread across the northwestern Cape Verde Islands through this
evening and continue into the overnight hours.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown
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