[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 161137
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IN THE VICINITY OF BERMUDA IS
ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS. AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA WITHIN THIS AREA
OF DISTURBED WEATHER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND MOVE NORTHWARD
AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE
WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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