[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 160514
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS NORTHEASTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO...AND MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
WWWW
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