[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jun 18 09:36:03 CDT 2013


WTNT32 KNHC 181435
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER YUCATAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 90.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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