[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT32 KNHC 171520 CCA
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1100 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

CORRECTED TO ADD WIND HAZARD STATEMENT

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...
...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 87.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND
OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE DEPRESSION COULD
EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.
SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER LAND
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE
ON TUESDAY IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... NORTHERN HONDURAS AND
THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THROUGH TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH






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